Research
Communication | Open Access
Volume 2022 | Communication ID 5867
Volume 2022 | Communication ID 5867
On the date of the epidemic peak |
Mohammed Meziane
Received |
Accepted |
Published |
May 14, 13:27 |
July 01, 2022 |
July 15, 2022 |
Abstract: In [2], Bacaër was interested in the date of the epidemic peak (which corresponds to the date when the number of infected people reaches its maximum) in the S-I-R model of Kermack and McKendrick ([1], chapter 18). He shows that the epidemic peak occurs at time T such that T ~ (lnN)/(a-b), where N is the population size, a is the effective contact rate and b is the recovery rate, with the assumption a > b. In [3], the authors were interested in studying the S-E-I-R epidemic model, with the objective of determining the date of the peak. The authors found a lower bound for the date of ...